College football betting: Michigan State, FIU, Oregon State have weekend value

Early-season results person created worth successful this week’s assemblage shot slate, with Michigan State, FIU and Oregon State lasting retired arsenic the strongest plays.

Michigan State -17 vs. Eastern Michigan

It was a Sparty Party successful East Lansing past week arsenic Pat Fitzgerald began his Michigan State tenure with a 10-point triumph implicit Toledo. Eastern Michigan, meanwhile, failed to physique connected its Week 0 win, losing astatine location to San Jose State aft a hard agelong that included agelong question and blistering vigor astatine USC the erstwhile week.

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EMU was a squad I was down connected implicit the summer, and thing has changed done 2 games. Based connected Game connected Paper data, Eastern Michigan’s performances fertile successful the 27th percentile and ninth percentile successful EPA per play. The Eagles were downright atrocious offensively against San Jose State, averaging conscionable 4.13 yards per play with lone 2 explosive plays.

Michigan State was thing of a box-score loser against Toledo, getting outgained by astir 2 yards per play, but the Spartans ran 82 scrimmage plays to Toledo’s 41. Fitzgerald leaned connected the tally due to the fact that helium could, with MSU attempting 49 rushes and 34 passes.

When called upon, Alessio Milivojevic was solid, completing 26 of 34 passes for 247 yards. Some of those shorter gains against Toledo, which mislaid a batch from past play but inactive fielded a top-10 defense, could go overmuch bigger plays against this Eagles defense. San Jose State ranked successful the 70th percentile successful yards per dropback against EMU.

Pick: I’d expect Michigan State to commencement fast, physique a pb and walk the remainder of the crippled leaning connected the tally to brackish it away.

FIU -10.5 vs. Buffalo

This is simply a large fig for FIU and a crippled I discussed successful Monday’s Opening Line Report, but the Panthers are deserving of it.

Buffalo was dreadful successful its 21-17 triumph implicit Albany. Over 77 plays, the Bulls managed 351 yards and less than 4.6 yards per play. Albany had much explosive plays, portion Buffalo backmost Elijah Holmes went 26 of 47 for 189 yards.

Now the Bulls caput from occidental New York to hot, humid Miami to look a Panthers squad that deserved a amended destiny past week. FIU held South Florida and first-year caput manager Brian Hartline to 208 yards successful a 19-9 loss. The Panthers were minus-3 successful existent turnovers and turned it implicit connected downs 4 times, efficaciously putting them astatine minus-7 successful turnover margin.

JJ Kohl went 31 of 50 for 301 yards. FIU didn’t tally the shot effectively, but it consistently recovered gains of 15 to 30 yards done the aerial earlier squandering drives. The Panthers averaged 5.08 yards per play to USF’s 3.71, and the defence was spectacular considering the field-position disadvantage. USF began drives, connected average, astatine its ain 45-yard line; FIU started astatine its ain 20.

Buffalo manager Pete Lembo often has beardown peculiar teams units, but I’m not definite helium has capable to enactment with offensively successful this matchup. FIU has plentifulness of positives to physique connected from Week 1, and the vigor and humidity should lone assistance the location side.

Pick: I judge the Panthers tin triumph comfortably and screen the number.

Oregon State +26.5 vs. Texas Tech

JaMarcus Shephard’s coaching debut was admirable. Oregon State went to Houston for an 11 a.m. section kickoff successful the vigor and was wrong 1 people aboriginal successful the 4th quarter. All things considered, it was a respectable showing against a Houston squad immoderate judge could marque waves successful the College Football Playoff discussion.

Braden Atkinson, the starter for a borderline top-10 FCS discourtesy astatine Mercer past season, threw for 376 yards and completed amended than 60 percent of his passes. He threw for conscionable shy of 3,600 yards astatine Mercer with a 34-to-11 touchdown-to-interception ratio. With much NIL concern present that Oregon State is backmost successful a conference, the Beavers mightiness person a reasonably robust offense.

Oregon State gained plentifulness of yards but came distant with lone 20 points, truthful determination are wide areas to cleanable up. Still, the gathering blocks look to beryllium there.

Texas Tech had lone 2 explosive plays successful a measured 33-10 triumph implicit Abilene Christian successful Week 1. Will Hammond did what helium needed to bash aft the Red Raiders expected Brendan Sorsby to beryllium the starting quarterback.

This is not a large spot for Texas Tech. The Red Raiders person to trek to Corvallis earlier returning location for a monolithic Friday nighttime Big 12 crippled against Houston. I’m not definite they’ll beryllium looking to marque a connection here, and Oregon State’s pass-happy discourtesy nether Shephard should springiness the Beavers opportunities, particularly successful the 2nd half.

Pick: Covering a fig this ample feels similar a large ask.