Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026 | 2 a.m.
The archetypal gathering betwixt Miami and Notre Dame successful 8 years turned retired to beryllium astir surely the astir consequential regular-season crippled of the 2025 season.
No 1 knew it astatine the time, but the Hurricanes’ 27-24 edging of the Irish successful Week 1 of past play ended up determining the last College Football Playoff spot.
Despite the betting marketplace power-rating it arsenic a apical 3 squad and pricing it arsenic a adjacent certainty earlier enactment day, Notre Dame was near retired of the playoff for the head-to-head nonaccomplishment to Miami. The Hurricanes rode their inclusion to coming wrong a game-winning thrust of winning the nationalist title successful a 27-21 nonaccomplishment to the Indiana Hoosiers.
The stakes don’t task arsenic precocious going into this season’s rematch betwixt Miami and Notre Dame successful South Bend, Ind., but the matchup feels much enormous.
There’s a bully accidental some teams marque the College Football Playoff tract careless of the result, particularly Miami. That conscionable hasn’t killed immoderate of the buzz astir a showdown betwixt the past 2 nationalist runner-ups.
And for the 2nd consecutive year, the betting buzz seems to beryllium landing much connected the Irish. They’ve ballooned up to a 6.5-point favorite, a akin trajectory to past play erstwhile they were an underdog to the Hurricanes for portion of the offseason earlier getting steamed to a 2.5-point favourite earlier kickoff.
Miami fended disconnected each the skepticism by gathering a 21-7 pb and withstanding a precocious Notre Dame rally. Many of the aforesaid standouts from past year’s crippled are backmost and the crippled includes 3 of the existent apical 5 betting choices to triumph the Heisman Trophy — Miami backmost Darian Mensah astatine +160 (i.e. risking $100 to triumph $160) astatine Caesars/William Hill, Miami wide receiver Malachi Toney astatine 3-to-1 and Notre Dame backmost CJ Carr astatine 13-to-1.
Miami astatine Notre Dame headlines what looks similar the champion assemblage shot slate of the year.
Read connected for my point-spread handicaps of each Week 10 FBS game. Lines are the champion presently disposable successful Las Vegas connected the chosen side. Picks are labeled successful 1 of 3 assurance categories — plays, leans and guesses. The grounds for the twelvemonth picking each crippled stands astatine 251-246-5 (90-81-1 connected plays, 93-84-2 connected leans and 68-81-2 connected guesses).
Big games
BYU +5.5 astatine Utah, over/under: 48. Utah is simply a batch flashier, but that’s not traditionally what’s prevailed successful the Holy War rivalry. BYU mightiness person the champion violative enactment Utah has faced each twelvemonth and tin clasp its ain connected the different broadside of the trenches, too. Underdogs are typically preferable successful this series, having won 3 of the past 4 and 7 of the past 10. Lean: BYU +5.5.
Texas -2.5 astatine Missouri, over/under: 44. Texas has been underwhelming overall, but its endowment level is excessively precocious not to interruption retired astatine immoderate point. Maybe that’s started to hap with 2 consecutive wins and covers. The Longhorns person the Tigers covered astatine astir each position, hence wherefore this enactment projected to beryllium adjacent treble digits coming into the season. Play: Texas -2.5.
Texas A&M +7.5 astatine South Carolina, over/under: 52. South Carolina’s uptick of 3 consecutive wins and covers feels existent with backmost LaNorris Sellers making usage of an unexpectedly heavy receiving corps. There’s been comparatively fewer signs of beingness from Texas A&M, which has fallen disconnected adjacent much than anticipated astatine the lines of scrimmage, wherever it dominated past season. Play: South Carolina -7.
Alabama +5.5 astatine LSU, over/under: 52.5. LSU is the prime for those prioritizing wide endowment and caller results; Alabama is the prime for upside and full-season data. It’s hard not to spell backmost and forth, but buying debased has served gamblers good successful the SEC this year. This would person been person to a pick’em a fewer weeks agone earlier Alabama’s banal dipped precipitously. Guess: Alabama +5.5.
Oregon +7.5 astatine Ohio State, over/under: 48.5. Ohio State’s struggles without injured backmost Julian Sayin were highly evident successful past week’s 30-18 nonaccomplishment astatine USC arsenic 6.5-point favorites. This fig inactive hasn’t adjusted enough, considering it sat -10.5 successful Game of the Year lines earlier Sayin went down. The backup-quarterback blues could besides beryllium applied to Oregon but Dylan Raiola seems to person yet settled down and recovered a much fitting violative coordinator successful interim Jay Johnson. Lean: Oregon +7.5.
Kentucky +6 astatine Tennessee, over/under: 50. Kentucky is simply a large communicative and first-year manager Will Stein deserves much information for the Bear Bryant Coach of the Year award, but it’s benefited from each break, including immoderate of the nation’s champion turnover luck. That’s bound to tally retired and could expedite against a Tennessee broadside connected the emergence with 1 of the astir havoc-causing antiaircraft beforehand sevens successful the nation. Play: Tennessee -6.
Miami +6 astatine Notre Dame, over/under: 58. The fig has unluckily gotten stake to wherever it belongs aft opening a small short. Despite sitting undefeated, Miami has shown much flaws than Notre Dame — peculiarly connected defense. Notre Dame is much implicit and has each crushed to beryllium locked successful for this rematch. Guess: Notre Dame -6.
Georgia -4 astatine Ole Miss, over/under: 56.5. Ole Miss has its flaws but backmost Trinidad Chambliss tends to navigate and flooded them with a play dose of explosive plays. That’s wherever Georgia is simply a small deficient. The Bulldogs winning a adjacent crippled is the likeliest result but the dispersed is climbing excessively high. Guess: Ole Miss +4.
Big Plays
Nebraska -5 astatine Illinois, over/under: 49.5. Nebraska is mired successful a peculiarly discouraging variation of its yearly late-season diminution with 3 consecutive defeats. Illinois, meanwhile, appears to beryllium heading successful the different direction, having won 3 consecutive games with improved antiaircraft play and present the instrumentality of backmost Katin Houser. Play: Illinois +5.
UCLA -5 astatine Minnesota, over/under: 39. Money has flooded successful connected Minnesota, and it makes immoderate consciousness of the aboveground fixed however deliberate some of the offenses person played and the truthful projected low-scoring quality of this game. But the Gophers’ discourtesy is simply a batch much feeble, standing No. 121 successful the federation by expected points added (EPA) per play to the Bruins’ much respectable No. 51. Play: UCLA -5.
Oklahoma State -3.5 astatine Kansas State, over/under: 62.5. Kansas State got a stronger show retired of its 3rd starting backmost of the year, Blake Barnett, than it did from the second, Jacob Knuth, past week successful a 27-24 nonaccomplishment to Colorado arsenic closing 2.5-point underdogs. But the Wildcats stay a slice unless starter Avery Johnson returns. Even if the seasoned does marque a astonishing comeback here, this fig would beryllium just with the Cowboys possessing much firepower. Play: Oklahoma State -3.5.
Marshall +10 astatine Georgia Southern, over/under: 55. The Eagles person been a currency instrumentality successful Sun Belt play astatine 4-0 against the spread, and they mightiness conscionable beryllium getting started arsenic they power their ain destiny to scope the league title game. Marshall has won and covered 2 consecutive itself but doesn’t person the quality makers to lucifer Georgia Southern. Play: Georgia Southern -10.
Vanderbilt +3 astatine Mississippi State, over/under: 49. The aboriginal wealth has travel successful connected Mississippi State to get this dispersed to a cardinal number, but the enactment is hard to understand. The Bulldogs are a ammunition of their thrilling early-season selves without injured backmost Kamario Taylor. Vanderbilt is successful a overmuch amended spot arsenic a young, improving squad coming disconnected a bye week. Play: Vanderbilt +3.
Iowa +2 astatine Northwestern, over/under: 44.5. Wildcats violative coordinator Chip Kelly’s originative tweaks are going viral connected a play ground but, if anyone tin spoil the party, it’s Iowa’s defense. Defensive subject and limiting large plays has been a hallmark of the Hawkeyes’ individuality for much than a quarter-century nether manager Kirk Ferentz. Play: Iowa +2.
Other games
Plays
Texas State +7 astatine Oregon State
Arizona State -3 vs. Colorado
UTEP +10 vs. Hawaii
Western Kentucky +1 astatine Middle Tennessee
South Alabama +9.5 astatine Louisiana
San Jose State -10 vs. Northern Illinois
UNLV -6 vs. Wyoming
UNR +10.5 vs. New Mexico
South Florida +1.5 astatine East Carolina
Florida International -4.5 vs. Missouri State
Leans:
Iowa State +10 astatine Baylor
North Carolina -7 astatine Connecticut
Washington -1.5 vs. Penn State
Louisville -14.5 astatine Georgia Tech
Air Force +3.5 astatine Army
Fresno State -2 astatine Utah State
Arkansas State -14.5 vs. UL Monroe
UMass -3.5 vs. Ball State
Buffalo +6.5 astatine Miami (Ohio)
TCU +9.5 astatine Arizona
Charlotte +11 astatine UAB
Sacramento State +26 vs. Toledo
SMU -5.5 vs. Virginia Tech
Maryland +6.5 astatine Purdue
Kansas -2.5 vs. UCF
Clemson -2.5 astatine Syracuse
Rutgers +17 astatine Wisconsin
Guesses
Liberty -17 astatine New Mexico State
UTSA -6.5 astatine Florida Atlantic
Kennesaw State +2.5 vs. Delaware
Duke -4.5 astatine N.C. State
Coastal Carolina -7 vs. Old Dominion
Louisiana Tech -4.5 astatine Troy
West Virginia +17 astatine Texas Tech
Auburn -10.5 vs. Arkansas
Akron +14 vs. Ohio
Oklahoma +6.5 astatine Florida
Cincinnati +11 astatine Houston
Georgia State +6 astatine Appalachian State
Boston College +7 vs. Florida State
Eastern Michigan -1.5 vs. Central Michigan
North Texas -16.5 vs. Rice
Sam Houston +17 astatine Jacksonville State
Boise State -17.5 astatine Colorado State
Southern Miss +15 vs. James Madison
Navy -7.5 vs. Temple
Michigan -13 vs. Michigan State
Tulsa -1 astatine Tulane
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